House Cattle Call: Less than a month to go!

If I remember right, it’s been a few of months since we had a House Cattle call, although we have Senate ones monthly.  A lot has happened in those few months. I think our chances in several strongly Republican Districts have greatly improved, and we’ve put away some districts that were competitive a few months ago.  Most of the Pundits are predicting gains greater than 20 seats, with 30 or more seats likely.  McCain is losing ground by the day, and Republicans nation wide are hemorrhaging support thanks to the Economic crisis.  Democratic incumbents are in increasingly less danger, with only approximately 5 seats in serious risk. Needless to say, this one is looking like a wave election possibly better than 2006.  Go as far down as you want, as we have no shortage of targets.

4 thoughts on “House Cattle Call: Less than a month to go!”

  1. 1. NY-13:  McMahon vs. Straneire

    2. NY-25:  Maffei vs. Sweetland

    3. VA-11:  Connolly vs. Fimian

    4. AK-AL:  Berkowitz vs. Young

    5. AZ-01:  Kirkpatrick vs. Hay

    6. IL-11:  Halvorson vs. Ozinga

    7. OH-16:  Boccieri vs. Schuring

    8. CO-04:  Markey vs. Musgrave

    9. OH-15:  Kilroy vs. Stivers

    10. MN-03:  Madia vs. Paulsen

    11. NM-01:  Heinrich vs. White

    12. MI-07:  Schauer vs. Walberg

    13. NJ-03:  Adler vs. Myers

    14. NV-03:  Titus vs. Porter

    15. NJ-07:  Stender vs. Lance

    16. NY-29:  Massa vs. Kuhl

    17. NC-08:  Kissell vs. Hayes

    18. MI-09:  Peters vs. Knollenberg

    19. LA-04:  Carmouche vs. ????

    20. FL-24:  Kosmas vs. Feeney

    21. NM-02:  Teague vs. Tinsley

    22. IL-10:  Seals vs. Kirk

    23. FL-08:  Grayson vs. Keller

    24. CT-04:  Himes vs. Shays

    25. OH-01:  Driehaus vs. Chabot

    26. PA-03:  Dahlkemper vs. English

    27. FL-21:  Martinez vs. L. Diaz-Balart

    28. WA-08:  Burner vs. Reichert

    29. MO-06:  Barnes vs. Graves

    30. AL-02:  Bright vs. Love

    31. KY-02:  Boswell vs. Guthrie

    32. FL-25:  Garcia vs. M. Diaz-Balart

    33. MO-09:  Baker vs. Luetkemeyer

    34. VA-02:  Nye vs. Drake

    35. NY-26:  Kryzan vs. Lee

    36. ID-01:  Minnick vs. Sali

    37. MD-01:  Kratovil vs. Harris

    38. CA-04:  Brown vs. McClintock

    39. NV-02:  Derby vs. Heller

    40. OH-02:  Wulsin vs. Schmidt

    41. AZ-03:  Lord vs. Shadegg

    42. VA-05:  Periello vs. Goode

    43. NE-02:  Esch vs. Terry

    44. WY-AL:  Trauner vs. Lummis

    45. WV-03:  Barth vs. Capito

    Democrat Seats

    1. TX-22:  Lampson vs. Olson

    2. PA-11:  Kanjorski vs. Barletta

    3. NH-01:  Shea-Porter vs. Bradley

    4. AL-05:  Griffith vs. Parker

    5. LA-06:  Cazayoux vs. Cassidy

    6. KS-02:  Boyda vs. Jenkins

    7. FL-16:  Mahoney vs. Rooney

    8. PA-10:  Carney vs. Hackett

  2. Republican Held Seats

    Likely Dem Pickups: NY-13, NY-25, AZ-01, VA-11, IL-11

    Lean Dem Pickups: NJ-03, NJ-07, AK-AL, NM-01, MI-07, OH-16, CO-04, MN-03, OH-15, NV-03, NC-08, NY-29, LA-04, MI-09

    Toss Up: PA-03, FL-24, OH-01, IL-10, FL-21, AL-02, FL-25, NM-02, CT-04, FL-08

    Lean Republican Retention: KY-02, WA-08, ID-01, MO-06, VA-02, MD-01, CA-04, AZ-03, MO-09, NV-02, TX-07, NE-02, NY-26, WY-AL

    Likely Republican Retention: OH-02, FL-13, TX-10, WV-02, PA-15, IN-03, OH-07, VA-05

    Race To Watch: LA-07, AL-03, FL-18, VA-10, CA-26, MN-02, NJ-05, CA-46

    ————————————————-

    Democratic Held Seats

    Toss Up: PA-11, TX-22, LA-06

    Lean Democratic Retention: KS-02, NH-01, FL-16, OR-05, AL-05, GA-08, KY-03, PA-10, WI-08, PA-04, MS-01, AZ-08, NY-20

    Likely Democratic Retention: CA-11, AZ-05, CT-05, TX-23, IL-14, IN-09, MN-01

  3. Dems get 20-25 of these

    1. NY-13

    2. NY-25

    3. AZ-01

    4. AK-AL

    5. VA-11

    6. NY-29

    7. NJ-07

    8. IL-11

    9. OH-15

    10. MI-07

    11. NM-01

    12. MN-03

    13. CO-04

    14. NC-08

    15. MO-6

    16. NM-02

    17. MO-09

    18. NV-03

    19. NJ-03

    20. MD-01

    21. MI-09

    22. FL-08

    23. OH-16

    24. ID-01

    25. FL-21

    26. NY-26

    27. IL-10

    28. WA-08

    29. NV-02

    30. KY-02

    Reps get 3-6 of these

    1. TX-22

    2. PA-11

    3. NH-01

    4. KS-02

    5. AL-05

    6. LA-06

    7. IL-14

    8. PA-10

    9. FL-16

    10. OR-05

  4. Only including seats I consider have a reasonable chance of flipping.

    Dem Seats:

    1. TX-22

    2. PA-11

    3. PA-10

    4. NH-01

    5. LA-06

    6. KS-02

    7. AL-05

    8. FL-16

    Rep Seats:

    1. NY-13

    2. NY-25

    3. AZ-01

    4. AK-AL

    5. IL-11

    6. VA-11

    7. OH-16

    8. OH-15

    9. CO-04

    10. NY-29

    11. MN-03

    12. NJ-07

    13. NM-01

    14. MI-07

    15. NJ-03

    16. NV-03

    17. NC-08

    18. MI-09

    19. NM-02

    20. LA-04

    21. IL-10

    22. FL-24

    23. CT-04

    24. FL-08

    25. OH-01

    26. PA-03

    27. FL-21

    28. AL-02

    29. MO-09

    30. FL-25

    31. WA-08

    32. MO-06

    33. VA-02

    34. CA-04

    35. MD-01

    36. WY-AL

    37. KY-02

    38. NY-26

    39. AZ-03

    40. NE-02

    41. OH-02

    42. ID-01

    43. TX-07

    44. NJ-05

    45. IL-06

    46. TX-10

    47. WV-02

    48. FL-13

    49. IN-03

    50. MN-06

    51. MN-02

    52. IA-04

    53. OH-07

    Likely Dem gains of 25-35 seats.

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