If I remember right, it’s been a few of months since we had a House Cattle call, although we have Senate ones monthly. A lot has happened in those few months. I think our chances in several strongly Republican Districts have greatly improved, and we’ve put away some districts that were competitive a few months ago. Most of the Pundits are predicting gains greater than 20 seats, with 30 or more seats likely. McCain is losing ground by the day, and Republicans nation wide are hemorrhaging support thanks to the Economic crisis. Democratic incumbents are in increasingly less danger, with only approximately 5 seats in serious risk. Needless to say, this one is looking like a wave election possibly better than 2006. Go as far down as you want, as we have no shortage of targets.
4 thoughts on “House Cattle Call: Less than a month to go!”
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1. NY-13: McMahon vs. Straneire
2. NY-25: Maffei vs. Sweetland
3. VA-11: Connolly vs. Fimian
4. AK-AL: Berkowitz vs. Young
5. AZ-01: Kirkpatrick vs. Hay
6. IL-11: Halvorson vs. Ozinga
7. OH-16: Boccieri vs. Schuring
8. CO-04: Markey vs. Musgrave
9. OH-15: Kilroy vs. Stivers
10. MN-03: Madia vs. Paulsen
11. NM-01: Heinrich vs. White
12. MI-07: Schauer vs. Walberg
13. NJ-03: Adler vs. Myers
14. NV-03: Titus vs. Porter
15. NJ-07: Stender vs. Lance
16. NY-29: Massa vs. Kuhl
17. NC-08: Kissell vs. Hayes
18. MI-09: Peters vs. Knollenberg
19. LA-04: Carmouche vs. ????
20. FL-24: Kosmas vs. Feeney
21. NM-02: Teague vs. Tinsley
22. IL-10: Seals vs. Kirk
23. FL-08: Grayson vs. Keller
24. CT-04: Himes vs. Shays
25. OH-01: Driehaus vs. Chabot
26. PA-03: Dahlkemper vs. English
27. FL-21: Martinez vs. L. Diaz-Balart
28. WA-08: Burner vs. Reichert
29. MO-06: Barnes vs. Graves
30. AL-02: Bright vs. Love
31. KY-02: Boswell vs. Guthrie
32. FL-25: Garcia vs. M. Diaz-Balart
33. MO-09: Baker vs. Luetkemeyer
34. VA-02: Nye vs. Drake
35. NY-26: Kryzan vs. Lee
36. ID-01: Minnick vs. Sali
37. MD-01: Kratovil vs. Harris
38. CA-04: Brown vs. McClintock
39. NV-02: Derby vs. Heller
40. OH-02: Wulsin vs. Schmidt
41. AZ-03: Lord vs. Shadegg
42. VA-05: Periello vs. Goode
43. NE-02: Esch vs. Terry
44. WY-AL: Trauner vs. Lummis
45. WV-03: Barth vs. Capito
Democrat Seats
1. TX-22: Lampson vs. Olson
2. PA-11: Kanjorski vs. Barletta
3. NH-01: Shea-Porter vs. Bradley
4. AL-05: Griffith vs. Parker
5. LA-06: Cazayoux vs. Cassidy
6. KS-02: Boyda vs. Jenkins
7. FL-16: Mahoney vs. Rooney
8. PA-10: Carney vs. Hackett
Republican Held Seats
Likely Dem Pickups: NY-13, NY-25, AZ-01, VA-11, IL-11
Lean Dem Pickups: NJ-03, NJ-07, AK-AL, NM-01, MI-07, OH-16, CO-04, MN-03, OH-15, NV-03, NC-08, NY-29, LA-04, MI-09
Toss Up: PA-03, FL-24, OH-01, IL-10, FL-21, AL-02, FL-25, NM-02, CT-04, FL-08
Lean Republican Retention: KY-02, WA-08, ID-01, MO-06, VA-02, MD-01, CA-04, AZ-03, MO-09, NV-02, TX-07, NE-02, NY-26, WY-AL
Likely Republican Retention: OH-02, FL-13, TX-10, WV-02, PA-15, IN-03, OH-07, VA-05
Race To Watch: LA-07, AL-03, FL-18, VA-10, CA-26, MN-02, NJ-05, CA-46
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Democratic Held Seats
Toss Up: PA-11, TX-22, LA-06
Lean Democratic Retention: KS-02, NH-01, FL-16, OR-05, AL-05, GA-08, KY-03, PA-10, WI-08, PA-04, MS-01, AZ-08, NY-20
Likely Democratic Retention: CA-11, AZ-05, CT-05, TX-23, IL-14, IN-09, MN-01
Dems get 20-25 of these
1. NY-13
2. NY-25
3. AZ-01
4. AK-AL
5. VA-11
6. NY-29
7. NJ-07
8. IL-11
9. OH-15
10. MI-07
11. NM-01
12. MN-03
13. CO-04
14. NC-08
15. MO-6
16. NM-02
17. MO-09
18. NV-03
19. NJ-03
20. MD-01
21. MI-09
22. FL-08
23. OH-16
24. ID-01
25. FL-21
26. NY-26
27. IL-10
28. WA-08
29. NV-02
30. KY-02
Reps get 3-6 of these
1. TX-22
2. PA-11
3. NH-01
4. KS-02
5. AL-05
6. LA-06
7. IL-14
8. PA-10
9. FL-16
10. OR-05
Only including seats I consider have a reasonable chance of flipping.
Dem Seats:
1. TX-22
2. PA-11
3. PA-10
4. NH-01
5. LA-06
6. KS-02
7. AL-05
8. FL-16
Rep Seats:
1. NY-13
2. NY-25
3. AZ-01
4. AK-AL
5. IL-11
6. VA-11
7. OH-16
8. OH-15
9. CO-04
10. NY-29
11. MN-03
12. NJ-07
13. NM-01
14. MI-07
15. NJ-03
16. NV-03
17. NC-08
18. MI-09
19. NM-02
20. LA-04
21. IL-10
22. FL-24
23. CT-04
24. FL-08
25. OH-01
26. PA-03
27. FL-21
28. AL-02
29. MO-09
30. FL-25
31. WA-08
32. MO-06
33. VA-02
34. CA-04
35. MD-01
36. WY-AL
37. KY-02
38. NY-26
39. AZ-03
40. NE-02
41. OH-02
42. ID-01
43. TX-07
44. NJ-05
45. IL-06
46. TX-10
47. WV-02
48. FL-13
49. IN-03
50. MN-06
51. MN-02
52. IA-04
53. OH-07
Likely Dem gains of 25-35 seats.